ExxonMobil Predicted Climate Crisis 50 Years Ago, According To Leaks

Exxon­Mo­bil, for­mer­ly known as Exxon, is one of the world’s largest oil and gas com­pa­nies, but a recent review of inter­nal doc­u­ments that the com­pa­ny had kept secret for near­ly 50 years showed it had cli­mate change fig­ures as far back as 1977. I found out.

In 2015, inves­tiga­tive jour­nal­ists for the Los Ange­les Times and Guardian made a shock­ing dis­cov­ery. They uncov­ered dozens of inter­nal doc­u­ments by Exxon and Exxon­Mo­bil sci­en­tists that showed how fos­sil fuel prod­ucts could con­tribute to the glob­al cli­mate cri­sis, a cri­sis that could have “dra­mat­ic envi­ron­men­tal impacts before 2050.” It clear­ly detailed what con­tributed to

Since the report first leaked, researchers have painstak­ing­ly researched and ana­lyzed it, point­ing out the hypocrisy of Exxon­Mo­bil’s decades-long cam­paign to deny the sci­ence of cli­mate change.

How­ev­er, the exact num­bers and graphs pre­dict­ed by indus­try sci­en­tists have not been sub­ject to the same lev­el of scruti­ny, even though they appear to be close­ly relat­ed to today’s fos­sil fuel emis­sions and glob­al warm­ing. Absent.

Researchers at Har­vard Uni­ver­si­ty have now eval­u­at­ed for the first time how the results of Exxon­Mo­bil’s inter­nal cli­mate mod­el align with the cur­rent sci­en­tif­ic lit­er­a­ture and our cli­mate reality.

In the end, 63% to 93% of the com­pa­ny’s hid­den pre­dic­tions made between 1977 and 2003 turned out to be correct.

The bot­tom graph shows the agree­ment between pre­dict­ed val­ues and his­tor­i­cal­ly observed tem­per­a­ture changes.

Our find­ings show that Exxon­Mo­bil not only knew ‘some­thing’ about glob­al warm­ing decades ago, but as much as sci­en­tists in acad­e­mia and gov­ern­ment,” the authors say. writing.

“These find­ings sug­gest that Exxon­Mo­bil accu­rate­ly fore­saw the threat of man-made glob­al warm­ing before, or in par­al­lel with, orga­niz­ing pres­sure and pro­pa­gan­da cam­paigns to delay action on cli­mate change. , cor­rob­o­rate the claims of jour­nal­ists, lawyers, politi­cians and oth­ers, adding quan­ti­ta­tive accu­ra­cy,” they add.

The analy­sis is based on 32 inter­nal doc­u­ments pro­duced by Exxon and Exxon­Mo­bil sci­en­tists between 1977 and 2002 (Exxon merged with Mobil Oil Corp to form Exxon­Mo­bil in 1999).

Com­par­ing these data to 72 inde­pen­dent, peer-reviewed sci­en­tif­ic papers pro­duced by Exxon and Exxon­Mo­bil sci­en­tists between 1982 and 2013, Exxon and Exxon­Mo­bil sci­en­tists I was reading.

The rate of warm­ing pre­dict­ed by Exxon­Mo­bil aver­aged about 0.20°C per decade. This is about the same esti­mate pro­posed by inde­pen­dent sci­en­tists and gov­ern­ments in their own models.

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