How climate change will redraw the world map by 2100

satellite image of hurricane

Cli­mate change is not only increas­ing the glob­al aver­age tem­per­a­ture, but also alter­ing the pat­terns of pre­cip­i­ta­tion and sea­sons across the Earth. These changes will have pro­found impacts on the ecosys­tems and bio­di­ver­si­ty that depend on the local cli­mate conditions.

A new study that pre­dicts the future of our plan­et until 2100 shows that many regions will expe­ri­ence such dras­tic changes in their cli­mate that they will enter a new cli­mate zone, dif­fer­ent from what they have been for over a cen­tu­ry. The study used the Köp­pen-Geiger map, a wide­ly used sys­tem that divides the world into five cli­mate zones based on tem­per­a­ture, pre­cip­i­ta­tion and season.

The study found that depend­ing on the cli­mate mod­els used, 38 to 50 per­cent of the land sur­face will shift to a new cli­mate zone by the end of the cen­tu­ry. The lat­est gen­er­a­tion of cli­mate mod­els, which are more sen­si­tive to green­house gas emis­sions, pro­ject­ed a high­er per­cent­age of change. The study also iden­ti­fied some hotspots of change, such as Cen­tral Amer­i­ca, East Africa and South­east Asia.

The study warns that these changes will pose major chal­lenges for con­ser­va­tion and adap­ta­tion efforts, as many species and ecosys­tems will face unprece­dent­ed cli­mat­ic con­di­tions. The study also calls for more research on the impacts of cli­mate change on pre­cip­i­ta­tion and sea­son­al­i­ty, which are more dif­fi­cult to sim­u­late than temperature.

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